Thursday, September 28, 2023

A Tale of Two Energy Budgets

https://climateofsophistry.com/2023/09/28/a-tale-of-two-energy-budgets/ 


My reply:

https://climateofsophistry.com/2023/09/28/a-tale-of-two-energy-budgets/ 




My reply:


The flat Earth/weak Sun con game was created specifically to frame atmospheric CO2 as being needed to keep the Earth from being an ice planet, as if that proves CO2 global warming without needing more proof.  You hardly ever hear a summary of CO2-driven global warming without the -18C/-20C lie, for example, from the British Geological Survey:


[[‘Greenhouse gases’ are crucial to keeping our planet at a suitable temperature for life. Without the natural greenhouse effect, the heat emitted by the Earth would simply pass outwards from the Earth’s surface into space and the Earth would have an average temperature of about -20°C.]] - 


https://www.bgs.ac.uk/discovering-geology/climate-change/how-does-the-greenhouse-effect-work/


It's all irrelevant anyway because you can't just weaken the Sun's power without lowering its temperature, because it's ruled by the T^4 Planck black body law. Even they can't mess with Mother Nature and get away with it.  What a big laugh when they claim that the Sun's power has not been increasing enough to account with their fake global avg. temp. (GAT) numbers.


https://www.quora.com/The-heatwave-was-made-two-degrees-Celsius-3-6F-warmer-by-climate-change-What-was-the-impact-of-this-heatwave/answer/TL-Winslow


Here's my deeper analysis of the U.N. IPCC flat Earth hoax.  Like all leftists, they love to accuse opponents of what they are, so guess what they call us "climate deniers"?


http://www.historyscoper.com/howmuchdoesthesuncontributetoglobalwarming.html


The global Marxists have hijacked every scientific and academic org. to grab for the brass ring.  Their weird version of climate science is a beehive of lies that takes a million words to dissect.  It would be funny if it weren't so tragic, but the only real climate scientists left are those banned by the U.N. IPCC.


https://www.quora.com/What-are-some-examples-of-credible-scientific-resources-on-global-warming-Why-would-they-be-good-choices-for-high-school-students/answer/TL-Winslow


A doctorate in astrophysics?  Big wow.  Charlatans such as Kneel in the Grass What's His Name have one of those.  Like I've tried to tell you before, no one needs to delve into the intricacies of climate science to disprove the U.N. IPCC's sick Victorian steampunk greenhouse gas warming hoax, just know how to count like a 5th grader.  


Yes, it's an all-out attempt to deny Nature's ironclad Second Law of Thermodynamics (entropy), but it ultimately rests on a blatant denial of the First Law (energy conservation), because it relies  on a sleazy carnival shell game of energy double-counting, claiming that atmospheric CO2 molecules trap and reemit surface IR cooling photons, adding to the solar photons to cause global warming, but that requires them to do it all with those IR photons before they even left!  Shell game, double-counting, circular reasoning, sleazy carnival garbage.  We want all that money back.

 

As to Nikolov-Zeller, yes, the stagnant atmosphere can be considered as a bunch of thin tubes extending from the ground to space, in each of which the Ideal Gas Law rules, where PV=nRT, or T=PV/nr, creating a temperature gradient without need for radiation or convection.  It still doesn't explain the boundary conditions at the ground level, where everybody knows that hot asphalt in Phoenix on July 4 may get way higher (up to 10C higher) than the air temperature at the 5 ft. level where surface temperature measurement stations place their thermometers. 


https://caas.usu.edu/weather/graphical-data/surface-temperature


The temperature drop is too large to be caused by gravity, and indeed it's caused by convection, which uses ground heat to power an atmospheric heat engine that generates all winds and storms by turning heat into work.  These can be considered as Le Chatelier responses to solar radiation.  Every wind or breeze uses up some solar energy irreversibly.  Worse, the conversion of short wavelength solar radiation by the surface to heat (increased internal energy density) then to long wave IR increases entropy, dispersing some of the heat energy irreversibly to the heat death of the Universe, making it forever unavailable for heating or doing work, without violating the First Law. That's why every time I hear talk of an Earth-Sun balance to justify the fake greenhouse gas effect and calling on the First Law I have to restrain the urge to ROTFL.


https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-greenhouse-effect-Is-entropy-the-cause-of-the-greenhouse-effect/answer/TL-Winslow


https://newrealclimatescience.quora.com/











Science Teachers Are Subverting an Accurate Understanding of Climate - Heartland

 

https://heartlanddailynews.com/2023/09/climate-change-weekly-482-science-teachers-are-subverting-an-accurate-understanding-of-climate/

Science Teachers Are Subverting an Accurate Understanding of Climate

Editor’s Introduction: I had originally planned to write an extended critique of claims made in a recent interview by Jonathan Osborne, a professor of education at Stanford University, whom the piece refers to as “an expert in science education.” If his own words prove anything, it is that Osborne has no business teaching science or science educators. An old Pogo cartoon once opined, “We have met the enemy and he is us.” The same could be said of science educators and advancement in science if what they are teaching and being taught by the likes of Osborne is any indication.


First, Osborne thinks it is dangerous for average people to approach science; they need to have it filtered by “experts.” Per Osborne, the hoi polloi aren’t capable of understanding science. Since that’s the case, it is perhaps not entirely surprising that Osborne doesn’t advocate teaching actual science, but rather political science, the art of compromise and comity.


Science is an activity and a discipline in the pursuit of knowledge. Osborne egregiously states and evidently teaches “the goal of science is the achievement of consensus.” No mention of the scientific method or critical thinking or challenging ideas but rather the pursuit of consensus, which is a political term and sometimes a goal, but not a scientific term. By contrast, as Wikipedia puts it, “[s]cience is a rigorous, systematic endeavor that builds and organizes knowledge in the form of testable explanations and predictions about everything,” or as the Oxford English Dictionary states, science is “the systematic study of the structure and behavior of the physical and natural world through observation, experimentation, and the testing of theories against the evidence obtained.” Did you notice what wasn’t mentioned at all in either traditional definition of science and its goals? CONSENSUS.


If consensus was the goal of science, Galileo would have been wrong to challenge the idea that the Earth was flat, and Copernicus that the Earth was the center of the universe. Those positions were the consensus, but they were wrong, and only because Galileo and Copernicus bucked the consensus did we come to the truth. In his book, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, Thomas Kuhn compellingly argued that the advancement of knowledge was driven by revolutionary ideas and theories which, when tested through experimentation, overthrew previous ideas of “settled science,” or consensus thinking. Consensus in science only forms, if it forms at all, after an idea or theory about an area of knowledge has proven more compelling than other possible explanations. And, even the best theories can be overturned with a single disconfirming piece of evidence.


Osborne’s view of the goal of science being consensus would leave us in the dark ages or earlier. Aside from that, Osborne thinks that it is not arguments and proofs that are important in advancing knowledge, but who is making those arguments and who may or may not be supporting or funding them. Clearly Osborne failed elementary logic, since his idea of what science consists of and how it advances is composed of a number of well-known logical fallacies that first-year philosophy students have drummed into their heads—fallacy of appeal to authority; fallacy of ad hominem; fallacy of appeal to numbers, to name but a few of his most egregious lapses in logic. Truth is not dependent upon the personality or position of the person or groups making an argument, nor is it based on how many people believe it; rather, it is based on whether it corresponds to physical reality—which, contrary to the beliefs of modern deconstructionist thinkers and critical theory proponents, is not socially constructed.


Things exist and are what they are, regardless of one person’s or groups of people’s beliefs about them. One can call a bear a kite, but that won’t make it take wing in an updraft.


For Osborne, science is a process of social construction of reality—and knowledge is created by a show of hands and collegial agreement—rather than a method through which the nature of things are discovered through experimentation, testing, and the exchange and competition of ideas. Osborne’s view of science is a schoolyard popularity contest among elite specialists. By contrast, real science is the laboratory and the field, where objective measurements are made. Proof—not belief, data or votes, is the hallmark of science. But you wouldn’t know that from reading the interview conducted with Osborne. Shockingly, but perhaps not surprisingly with the state of journalism being what it is these days, nowhere in the interview does the interviewer challenge any of Osborne’s assertions.


Having said all this, a long-time friend of mine, independent physicist John Droz, conducted an extensive analysis of Osborne’s claims about “how to beat bad science,” which he kindly let me reproduce below.

The Greatest Threat to Science Is from Within

A Progressive tips his hand about how they are trying to undermine Science

One of Lincoln’s most powerful speeches is the Lyceum Address. The key message is that we should not be so worried about overseas enemies, as corruption from within is our most serious threat…

At what point shall we expect the approach of danger? By what means shall we fortify against it?-- Shall we expect some transatlantic military giant, to step the Ocean, and crush us at a blow? Never!--All the armies of Europe, Asia, and Africa combined, with all the treasure of the earth (our own excepted) in their military chest; with a Buonaparte for a commander, could not by force, take a drink from the Ohio, or make a track on the Blue Ridge, in a trial of a thousand years.


At what point then is the approach of danger to be expected? I answer, if it ever reach us, it must spring up amongst us. It cannot come from abroad. If destruction be our lot, we must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of freemen, we must live through all time, or die by suicide.

I thought of this as I read the interview of one Stanford professor of another. The title is “How To Beat Bad Science.” If that wasn’t enticing enough for me, the person being interviewed (Dr. Jonathan Osborne) was identified as a “science education expert.”


I thought wow! Since I’m a K-12 science education expert, this should be right up my alley, in my lane, fit me like a glove, etc. However, it was a major disappointment.


Interesting note: At no time in the interview does Jonathan define “Bad Science!” Reading between the lines here, the implied definition is when scientists advocate anything that goes against government technical policies (like the net negative consequences for school children to wear masks for COVID-19 — e.g., here).


Ignoring the significant deficiency of the missing key definition, Jonathan says that for students to beat “bad science” they need to learn three skills: 1) be aware of conflicts of interest, 2) evaluate the source’s qualifications, and 3) more rigorously question those who go against consensus!


Point one would evidently be to look for one of the thousands of scientists who are funded by the fossil fuel industry—even though in 40+ years I have yet to find any.


Point two might be to ignore any evidence presented by a scientist, not a specialist—e.g., “only climatologists are qualified to evaluate the claims in climate science.” (This is to deceive the public, as real Scientists know that any Scientist can legitimately comment on the adherence to scientific principles by those in any field of Science.)


To reinforce the surprising third point he goes on to say that: The whole goal of science is consensus! OMG. Here I’ve been laboring for over four decades under the assumption that the goal of Science was: to give us a better understanding of our material existence. Now I find out that the whole goal of science is consensus!


I thought that politics was the field that focused on consensus, not Science. Maybe Jonathan wants us to equate real Science with political science. I’ve written about that problematic deception before (e.g., here), as it is a plague of our times.

It also occurs to me that if the objective of scientists is to agree with other scientists, how can we possibly make any societal progress? If scientists live and work in an echo chamber, nothing substantial will ever change. What sense does that make?


Further, I was always under the impression that the great scientists in history were outstanding because they looked at things differently—which almost always was against the current consensus. Apparently, Jonathan does not understand that.

...


As misguided as the above are due to what is said in that interview, arguably the worst parts are about what is not said. For example, there is not a word of advice for students to learn and apply the Scientific Method. It has been around in some form or other for some 4,000 years—and used by people like Newton, Curie, Einstein, etc. Seems that if it was helpful for those giants of Science, it might be useful to K-12 students. But not a word in this interview is advocating the Scientific Method!


Why would Progressives hate the Scientific Method? Because almost every Progressive technical policy (e.g., industrial wind energy) that is subjected to the Scientific Method, fails. That left them two choices: a) advocate technical policies that are actually science-based, or b) get rid of the Scientific Method. They chose b.

Worse is the glaring omission of Critical Thinking. Why wouldn’t the top advice of an “expert science educator” start out with the importance of Critical Thinking? In fact, it could be argued that his first two points would be assumed subsets of a genuine Critical Thinker’s methodology.


But his third point is where the S hits the fan. Having a default position supporting consensus (i.e., conformity) is the exact opposite of Critical Thinking! In the subject area of Science, K-12 students are supposed to be taught to question everythingespecially consensus!


Why are Progressives opposed to Critical Thinking? Because their worst fear is to have a citizenry of Critical Thinkers! They want compliant citizens who don’t ask questions, and who go along with whatever policies are proposed, regardless of their scientific sensibility. Think COVID-19 policies.


The more I thought about these two glaring omissions (the Scientific Method and Critical Thinking) the more it struck me that these exactly reflect the anti-Science mentality conveyed in the [Next Generation Science Standards] NGSS and its basis, the Framework— now used by some 45 states in their K-12 education. (See my Education Report for more details.)


On a whim, I decided to check out a hunch I had, so I just looked up who were the Progressive authors of the Framework (which became the NGSS). Here they are.


Scroll down and—mirabile dictu—there is Jonathan Osborne! Who woulda thunk?

This should convey a VERY clear idea of the mentality of the select Progressive clique that wrote the K-12 Science Standards—again, now used in some 45 states!


Please read about my success in reversing some of that in North Carolina, plus a subsequent post about how committed citizens can do the same in their state…


P.S. I emailed both of these co-conspirators and stated my primary objection. If I get anything of value back, I’ll post it here. So far zip, so don’t hold your breath!


- John Droz


Sources:Cyprus CEOCritically Thinking